Assembly figures now place the NDA at 2,530 of the country’s 4,123 MLAs, up from 2,096 after the general election. The BJP alone has moved from 1,532 legislators, or 37.16% of the total, to 1,813, or 43.97%. The shift has given the ruling alliance a wider state-level base for Rajya Sabha elections, presidential and vice-presidential electoral calculations, and organisational mobilisation ahead of the 2029 parliamentary contest.
The INDIA bloc has moved in the opposite direction. Its combined MLA strength has fallen from 1,603, or 38.88%, to 1,011, or 24.52%, reflecting defeats in key state elections and strains among parties that came together in 2023 to challenge the BJP’s dominance. Unaligned parties have risen from 321 legislators to 563, underlining the growing role of regional forces that are neither comfortably inside the NDA nor reliably committed to the Congress-led opposition platform.
The change has been driven by a sequence of Assembly verdicts after the 2024 parliamentary election. The NDA recovered from Lok Sabha setbacks in Haryana and Maharashtra, captured Delhi after 27 years, swept Bihar, retained Assam with a larger mandate and broke through dramatically in West Bengal. Those victories have offset the opposition’s gains in pockets such as Jharkhand and Kerala, where regional and Congress-led alliances still demonstrated their ability to resist the BJP’s expansion.
West Bengal has produced the most striking alteration in the national map. The BJP secured 207 seats in the 294-member Assembly, reducing the Trinamool Congress to 80 and ending a long phase in which Mamata Banerjee’s party functioned as the principal anti-BJP force in the east. The result has also triggered pressure inside the Trinamool, with dissident claims and organisational changes deepening uncertainty over the party’s ability to hold its legislative and parliamentary ranks together.
Assam added another layer to the NDA’s consolidation in the Northeast. The BJP won 82 of 126 seats, while allies and friendly regional parties strengthened the governing side. The Congress finished with 19 seats, reinforcing a pattern in which the party’s vote base remains visible but insufficient to convert into power when the BJP combines welfare messaging, leadership projection and alliance management.
Bihar’s 2025 Assembly verdict further widened the gap. The NDA secured 202 of 243 seats, leaving the Rashtriya Janata Dal-led opposition sharply diminished. The outcome restored the alliance’s command over one of the country’s most politically consequential states and reduced the opposition’s ability to use Bihar as a counterweight before the next parliamentary cycle.
Maharashtra, with its 288-member Assembly, had already signalled the scale of the NDA recovery. The BJP-led Mahayuti won 230 seats in 2024, with the BJP taking 132 and its Shiv Sena and NCP allies adding decisive numbers. The result weakened the Congress, Shiv Sena and NCP bloc and gave the BJP a dominant position in a state that sends 48 members to the Lok Sabha.
The BJP’s return to office in Delhi with 48 of 70 seats delivered symbolic and organisational value beyond the capital’s size. It pushed AAP out of power in the Union Territory and accelerated its break with the INDIA bloc. AAP’s exit, followed by the DMK’s decision to move away from the Congress-led platform after the Tamil Nadu election, has exposed the opposition’s unresolved leadership question.
