By Kalyani Shankar
The recent US midterm elections have introduced new complexity to US politics, but the US-India relationship stays fundamentally strong. India must sustain bipartisan support and respond to changing US priorities. As both countries face global challenges—great-power competition, economic shifts, and climate change—their partnership will be vital in regional and global outcomes.
India faces both obstacles and prospects in maintaining bipartisan support, navigating policy transitions, and expanding collaboration with multiple US stakeholders. As both democracies address shared global challenges, the strength of their partnership will continue to influence regional and international affairs.
The midterms resulted in a split Congress—Democrats still hold the Senate, while Republicans now control the House. For India, this means broad continuity, but with slower and less predictable US decision-making. Key committees that impact foreign affairs, defence, and trade may see new leaders and priorities, so India must engage across party lines and stay alert about shifts in the US legislative agenda.
US-India relations enjoy strong bipartisan support, with both US parties viewing India as key for Indo-Pacific stability and as a counterbalance to China. Existing cooperation in defence and counterterrorism should continue, but new trade, defence, or immigration initiatives may face delays. Indian officials will have to maintain wide engagement across US political, business, and community leaders.
The US is one of India’s largest trade partners, with substantial two-way commerce and investment. Midterms are unlikely to bring major trade policy changes, but debates on tariffs, market access, and supply chains could return. Sectors like pharmaceuticals, IT, and agriculture are sensitive to US policy alterations, and Indian investments in tech or infrastructure may face more scrutiny. Ongoing trade talks may lead to a limited agreement that boosts economic ties.
Technology and innovation remain pillars of US-India ties, with joint research in AI, cybersecurity, and semiconductors. US Congressional actions on tech transfer, data, and digital policy directly affect Indian firms. Immigration, especially H-1B visas, is vital for Indian professionals, though major reforms are unlikely. The growing Indian-American diaspora further strengthens the relationship through advocacy and cultural ties.
Both countries share an interest in a stable Indo-Pacific and countering China’s influence. Defence cooperation, joint military exercises, and intelligence exchange are set to continue, though Congressional reviews may slow arms sales and technology transfers. US policy toward Russia and Iran will also affect India, especially on energy security and regional diplomacy.
Climate and public health are rising priorities, but Congressional divisions may slow progress. The US and India are working together on clean energy, climate adaptation, and public health, with joint research and investment in renewables. India’s pharma industry closely watches US regulatory transitions, given its importance as a generics supplier.
Midterms bring uncertainty yet also new opportunities. India can deepen cooperation with US states, cities, business groups, and civil society, helping diversify and strengthen the partnership beyond federal channels. Building broad connections will be key for sustained resilience.
Despite midterm challenges, the fundamentals of the US-India relationship remain strong. India must maintain bipartisan support, adapt to shifting US policies, and broaden engagement. Ongoing cooperation will help the partnership thrive and shape global affairs. (IPA Service)
