By Pradeep Kapoor
LUCKNOW: Resurgence of Congress Party due to Priyanka Gandhi Vadra factor has unnerved BJP on one hand and SP-BSP-RLD alliance on the other in Uttar Pradesh. Priyanka Gandhi factor is likely to attract Brahmins, young non-Yadav OBCs, urban and rural youth and poor farmers in eastern UP.
Priyanka has been in charge of 41 Lok Sabha seats in UP. Congress didn’t, put up candidate in Fatehpur Sikri only. Significantly enough during Modi wave in 2014, average vote share of Congress in these seats was 10 per cent.
Modi wave could not prevent Congress to get more than one lakh votes in 15 of these seats. Priyanka Gandhi seats have low to medium population of Muslims. Hence they are not deciding factor in these seats.
There is no doubt that there was shift of Muslims in great number towards Samajwadi Party in 2014 Lok Sabha polls. During recent tour of eastern UP of Priyanka Gandhi, the presence of Muslims in large number was observed. It is being talked about in Muslim community that at centre Congress under leadership of Rahul Gandhi was giving direct challenge Modi government and BJP so they should support national party.
During interaction with members of Muslim community by this reporter, it was revealed that Muslims could vote forr powerful and influential candidates of Congress to defeat BJP. There was shift of powerful Brahmin community for BJP in 2014 from 2009 who voted for Congress. If Brahmins return to Congress, it would a big loss of BJP.
It would be worth mentioning here that 31 per cent Brahmins voted Congress in 2009 which came down to 11per cent in 2014. 53 per cent of Brahmins voted for BJP in 2009 which went to 72 per cent in 2014. So if Priyanka Gandhi Vadra through soft Hindutva card succeeds shift of Brahmins to Congress in 2019, that would be great loss of ruling party.
Priyanka Gandhi is working very hard to bring back traditional vote bank of Brahmin muslims and scheduled castes and scheduled tribes to Congress.
In the name of Ram temple movement, Brahmins went BJP, Kanshiram succeeded in weaning away scheduled castes and scheduled tribes while Samajwadi Party founder Mulayam Singh Yadav got muslims when his government ordered firing on Kar sewaks at Babri Masjid in 1990.
Congress under leadership of Priyanka Gandhi is also working on several castes within scheduled castes and backward categories which had drifted towards BJP in last elections. Congress is now aiming to bring back these votes for which it has made rainbow coalition and important leaders belonging to these castes have been inducted in the party recently and given tickets as well.
The study of tickets distribution reveal that for the first time important leaders of backward community, MBCs and non-Jatav scheduled castes, have been given prominence. Priyanka Gandhi Vadra is also making impact on the young and urban voters perceived to be unhappy with BJP due to lack of jobs GST, demonetisation, and farm crisis.
During recent Mission Ganga Yatra on boat from Prayag Raj to Varanasi, Priyanka Gandhi Vadra succeeded in direct connect with those who were living on the banks of river. There was great amount of enthusiasm in villagers when Priyanka Gandhi approached them for direct interaction.
The leaders of BJP Samajwadi Party and BSP are watching movements of Priyanka Gandhi Vadra who can damage their political calculations. (IPA Service)