By Arun Srivastava
LONDON: The British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has been desperate to salvage the situation and have his final say on the Brexit, but the prevailing political situation makes it explicitly clear that he ultimately may not succeed in his design as support for a new Brexit poll has been growing amid fears over Johnson’s plan.
An insight into the development would reveal that Boris has been primarily responsible for creation of this situation. In his desperation to accomplish his mission he has been putting different mechanisms and models before the EU and even UK politicians. Having failed in his mission, as a last ditch effort, to bridge the impasse Boris spoke to Merkel on Tuesday morning but on her part she made clear that a deal was “overwhelmingly unlikely”.
Boris’s recent efforts make it absolutely clear that at stake is the future of Europe and the UK as well as the security and interests of our people. Earlier it was said that the future of UK was stake, but now EU has also been tagged. What is most unfortunate is in this backdrop the Brexit blame game has begun in earnest, and what is quite interesting is no side wants to be held responsible for the impasse. While both the block’s have been realising that the present chaotic situation would jeopardise the global interest, none is willing to retreat or take to remedial measures.
Merkel made it clear that for a deal, Northern Ireland would have to stay in the EU’s block. It is worth mentioning that Johnson had also met the Irish taoiseach, Leo Varadkar. During the meet he also signalled that he would make a last-ditch U-turn on his plans for the Irish border, setting up 48 hours of intense negotiations that will make or break a Brexit deal.
The Democratic Unionist party and European Research Group (ERG), a group of right-wing Conservatives, have also issued statements promising flexibility, keeping hope alive that Johnson could find support for a new offer in the House of Commons. But these two do not appear to be happening. The main problem has been how it would roll.
Meanwhile pro-remain MPs and lobby claimed that they were gaining sufficient cross-party support to secure a second Brexit referendum as fresh doubts were raised over whether Boris Johnson can secure a deal with the EU that can pass through parliament.
Apprehensions are being expressed that second referendum would get more support from Tories and ex-Tories in case the government fails to secure a deal. Strange enough pro-referendum MPs are also examining other possibilities including reviving May’s deal and making that subject to a second referendum.
However it is argued in the political circle that if Johnson does manage to negotiate a deal… then they will insist that it is put back to the people in a confirmatory vote. If he can’t – or say won’t – get a deal … they will take whatever steps are necessary to prevent country crashing out of the EU without a deal.
Though some stray surveys point out the problems UK and its people face in the event of implementation of Brexit, it cannot be denied a whole hearted effort to evaluate and assess the fall back of the scheme has so far not been done. This becomes more imperative with economists expressing apprehension for decline of the economy. It is the Irish problem that has been hindering the Brexit to take a shape. But no concrete solution has evolved notwithstanding EU and UK leaders claiming to put their heads together.
The response of Conservative reviewers to Johnson’s recent negotiations with the Irish Prime Minister, Leo Varadkar, has been a revelation. After all the posturing about the Conservative Party being the party of the Union, and the rhetoric about never allowing a customs barrier in the Irish Sea that might divide Northern Ireland from its parent island, it now looks that Johnson has likely offered Varadkar and the European Union some kind of concession.
It is also alleged that Brexiter Tories, have started to argue that Northern Ireland and its Protestant Unionists represented by the Democratic Unionist Party were dragging modern Britain down. Readers were suddenly treated to facts and figures about the massive sums of money that Britain invests per head in Northern Ireland and how sustaining the Union costs Britain more than belonging to the EU does. Implicit in this argument is the suggestion that sooner or later Britain will have to cut its losses by cutting Northern Ireland loose. Interestingly last week Johnson twice refused to deny that Northern Ireland could still stay in the EU’s customs territory after Brexit.
With before the UK is due to leave the bloc, the future of Brexit remains deeply uncertain and both London and Brussels are positioning themselves to avoid blame for a delay or a disorderly no-deal Brexit. Little doubt this development manifest a weak leadership unable to make a decision. True enough the rightist forces are in a state of confusion as to how to tackle the socialist and leftist forces.
The public posture of Johnson “I can certainly tell you that under no circumstances will we see anything that damages the ability of the whole of the United Kingdom to take full advantage of Brexit” is simply a façade to confuse the Britishers. On his part to prove his sincerity Johnson promised the EU to come forward with a solution that would work for all. He said. “A solution that would not only satisfy the hardcore Brexiters but also solve our well-known and legitimate objectives: to avoid a hard border on the island of Ireland, to protect the Good Friday agreement, and ensure the integrity of the single market.” (IPA Service)